Jumat, 22 April 2011

[C519.Ebook] PDF Ebook Statistical and Probabilistic Methods in Actuarial Science (Chapman & Hall/CRC Interdisciplinary Statistics), by Philip J. Boland

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Statistical and Probabilistic Methods in Actuarial Science (Chapman & Hall/CRC Interdisciplinary Statistics), by Philip J. Boland

Statistical and Probabilistic Methods in Actuarial Science covers many of the diverse methods in applied probability and statistics for students aspiring to careers in insurance, actuarial science, and finance. The book builds on students’ existing knowledge of probability and statistics by establishing a solid and thorough understanding of these methods. It also emphasizes the wide variety of practical situations in insurance and actuarial science where these techniques may be used.

Although some chapters are linked, several can be studied independently from the others. The first chapter introduces claims reserving via the deterministic chain ladder technique. The next few chapters survey loss distributions, risk models in a fixed period of time, and surplus processes, followed by an examination of credibility theory in which collateral and sample information are brought together to provide reasonable methods of estimation. In the subsequent chapter, experience rating via no claim discount schemes for motor insurance provides an interesting application of Markov chain methods. The final chapters discuss generalized linear models and decision and game theory.

Developed by an author with many years of teaching experience, this text presents an accessible, sound foundation in both the theory and applications of actuarial science. It encourages students to use the statistical software package R to check examples and solve problems.

  • Sales Rank: #2714014 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Chapman and Hall/CRC
  • Published on: 2007-03-05
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.21" h x .81" w x 6.14" l, 1.54 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 368 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

Review

This book is meant to serve as a textbook for students seeking careers in insurance, actuarial science, or finance. … The author provides a variety of worked examples in each chapter to illustrate the main ideas, with an emphasis on those of more numerical and practical nature. Although good references for further reading are provided, basic knowledge in probability and statistics is required. This book will also serve as a nice reference for an insurance analyst.
―Technometrics, February 2009, Vol. 51, No. 1

… There are not many other books that cover actuarial topics based on statistical methods in so complete a way as this one. … this book is quite adequate as a companion book for anyone in involved with the mathematical concepts of statistics and probability models in actuarial science, and it is essential in a university library where these topics are taught.
―Journal of Applied Statistics, 2007

This book is aimed both at students of actuarial science and related subjects and at insurance and actuarial practitioners. … The treatment is clear throughout, with an ample supply of problems and worked examples. The book would be useful both for teachers of actuarial science and for self-study.
―N.H. Bingham, Imperial College, International Statistical Review, 2007

… The book has grown out of lecture notes and gives an overview on mathematical techniques used in actuarial practice. The main focus of the book is general insurance (property and casualty insurance, nonlife insurance). Besides theory, the book gives many exercises and presents R code.
―Mario V. W�thrich, ETH Zurich, The American Statistician, November 2008

This is a very nice book.
―Tonglin Zhang, Mathematical Reviews, 2009a

About the Author
University College Dublin, Ireland

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4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
nice coverage of new and old statistical methods in actuarial science
By Michael R. Chernick
I was particularly interested in this book because my son is planning on studying actuarial science at Ohio State. Also as a statistician who has in the past worked on statistical methods for loss reserving in workers compensation insurance, I was curious to see if any of the techniques that we developed are included and to find out what the state of the art is in actuarial science including methods applicable to workers compensation that we overlooked.

Boland's text provides a wealth of informationon statistical and probabilist techniques used in the isurance industries. The first chapter deals with claim or loss reserving and pricing. The method that we called loss triangles are covered here and are called run-off triangles. Three particular methods are covered.

Chapter 2 is a detailed account of loss distributions. There are text books on that topic alone. Probability theory comes up in chapters 3 and 4 on risk theory and ruin theory respectively. Chapter 5 covers credibility theory ( a topic I was not familiar with) and give the Bayesian approach to it. The specialized topic of no claim discounting in auto insurance is the subject of chapter 6. Generalized linear models a technique introduced by John Nelder is the subject of chapter 7. The classical multiple linear regression for normally distributed variables is covered as a special case.

Statistical decision theory and game theory are treated in chapter 8. Appendices A-D provide basic probability, commonly used tools from probability and statistics and introductory Bayesian statistics are the topics of appendices A-C and Appendix D provides solutions to selected exercises from the main text.

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Kamis, 14 April 2011

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  • Sales Rank: #5092282 in Books
  • Binding: Paperback

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Rabu, 06 April 2011

[L773.Ebook] PDF Ebook Maintaining and Troubleshooting Your 3D Printer

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  • Published on: 1800
  • Binding: Paperback

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Short Plays, Comedy

Charatcers: 2 male, 2 female

3 interior sets

Consists of The Way of All Fish, Virtual Reality and In and Out of the Light, three short plays about the collision of wills that were an Off Broadway comedy sensation starring the authors.

"Classic comedies ... with subversive details that keep catching you off guard.... The evening ... percolates with actorly inventiveness and a willingness to pursue a warped logic step by step into the land of absurdity. Has a heady sense of discovery, of seeing prototypical situations being twisted and spun to the point of dizziness, of disparate comic minds bouncing off each other."-N.Y. Times

"A giddy delight."-N.Y. Post

"Hilarious as well as thoughtful."-N.Y. Daily News

  • Sales Rank: #1666071 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Samuel French, Inc.
  • Published on: 2011-03-22
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 7.99" h x .22" w x 5.00" l, .25 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 108 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

About the Author
Elaine Tyler May is a social historian at the University of Minnesota where she is professor of American studies.


Alan Arkin was born in New York and attended Los Angeles City College and Bennington College. He is an award-winning actor and author who has starred in films, plays, and television shows. His books include: The Lemming Condition, The Clearing, and Some Fine Grandpa! He lives in Weston, CT.

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6 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Shallowly riotous
By Michael A. Benedetto
Of the three one-acts collected here, the first two have only minimal depth and the third doesn't have any. Doesn't matter. Alan Arkin and Elaine May have brilliant comic minds, and put them to excellent use on this project.
My personal favorite of the three is May's opener, "The Way of All Fish", in which a meek secretary attempts to shift the balance of power away from her difficult boss, with bizarre and side-splitting results. But there are amusing lines and intriguing situations in all three. Reading this book isn't quite a substitute for watching May and Arkin perform in their own pieces (or for watching Richard Benjamin and Paula Prentiss, their replacements in the original production), but it has the added benefit of allowing you to go back and excerpt the most quotable lines at your leisure.
Don't hesitate -- just grab it.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By aboswellburns
Great set of plays and some really great monologue material for women.

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Minggu, 03 April 2011

[J333.Ebook] Ebook Download Whoever Fights Monsters: My Twenty Years Tracking Serial Killers for the FBI, by Robert K. Ressler, Tom Shachtman

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Face-to-face with some of America's most terrifying killers, FBI veteran and ex-Army CID colonel Robert Ressler learned form then how to identify the unknown monsters who walk among us--and put them behind bars. Now the man who coined the phrase "serial killer" and advised Thomas Harris on The Silence of the Lambs shows how is able to track down some of today's most brutal murderers.

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  • Sales Rank: #35108 in Books
  • Published on: 1993-03-15
  • Released on: 1993-03-15
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: .27" h x .4" w x 4.23" l, .34 pounds
  • Binding: Mass Market Paperback
  • 304 pages

Amazon.com Review
This book is an overview of the career of the FBI man who nearly single-handedly created the system for personality profiling of violent offenders. If there's a big-time multiple murderer from about 1950 until now who hasn't been interviewed by Robert Ressler, he probably refused the honor. Indispensable reading for serial killer mavens, and better written than John Douglas and Mark Olshaker's Mindhunter, this book is packed with fascinating details from dozens of cases: The killer John Joubert, for example, started his life of cruelty as a kid one day when he was riding his bike with a sharpened pencil in his hand. He rode up next to a little girl who was walking, and stabbed her in the back with the pencil. Ouch!

From Publishers Weekly
Former FBI agent Ressler, who coined the term "serial killer" in the 1970s, recounts in straightforward style his interviews with such infamous murderers as Charles Manson, John Wayne Gacy and Ted Bundy. A BOMC selection in cloth. Photos.
Copyright 1993 Reed Business Information, Inc.

From Library Journal
The success of Silence of the Lambs has readers fascinated with serial killers. "New applicants to the FBI's Behavioral Sciences Unit are taking Jodie Foster's character as a role model," notes Ressler, who was consulted for the movie but felt it should have been more realistic. The book is an informative and insightful account of Ressler's 30-year FBI career and the development of the Violent Criminal Apprehension Program. Ressler's numerous interviews with convicted killers (e.g., David Berkowitz, Ted Bundy), use of behavioral sciences principles, and many years of detective experience have given him an uncanny ability to "read" a crime scene and develop a criminal profile of the offender. His involvement in multiple serial killer investigations gives the reader an insider's view into police work. This book is an entertaining alternative to Eric W. Hickey's Serial Murderers and Their Victims ( Wadsworth, 1991) and Joel Norris's Serial Killers (Doubleday, 1988). Recommended for general readers and true crime collections. Previewed in Prepub Alert, LJ 1/92.
- Robert Hodder, Memorial Univ. of Newfoundland Lib., St. John's
Copyright 1992 Reed Business Information, Inc.

Most helpful customer reviews

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Wow incredible read! A must read for true crime enthusiasts!
By Mary Jo Pierce
I LOVED this book! I've always been a true crime buff. Each book I read about particular cases about killers leaves me wanting....why? How can someone take the life of another with no more remorse or thought than tossing a used tissue in the trash? How can these monsters walk among us, date our daughters or suckle at our breasts without our knowledge? This book helped me to glimpse into the mind of a few killers thanks to Ressler. Thanks to him I didn't have to view these cold soulless eyes or get my hands dirty. We owe much to Ressler's amazing mind, his initiative and I dare say his amazing wife and children. He's dedicated his life to do this dirty work so that we don't have to. I'm sure there are many who are still alive and safe due to his work. I'm certainly going to thank God that he's around! I am grateful to have been able to understand a little better the kind of monsters who live among us and why they do what they do. Robert Ressler is a true American hero. Anyone who reads true crime MUST read this book! It will give an insight and a better understanding of the whys we so earnestly search for in these horrific cases. Thanks Ressler you are appreciated!

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
For Fans of Monster Fighters
By Barbara Frederick
Ever see the TV series, "Criminal Minds"? Robert Ressler, author of this book, is the model for Agent Rossi: the guy who essentially invented criminal profiling and created the FBI's Behavioral Analysis Unit. The basic premise is that he has interviewed well-known serial killers and spree killers in prison, and has studied them in every way possible under the circumstances, including studying the case files. Ressler writes about all sorts of killers and rapists and kidnappers, including Richard Chase, the vampire/cannibal whose case I worked on when I worked in the Office of the California Attorney General back in the 1970s. Also most of the famous killers who made headlines during much of the end of the last century (this was published in 1992).If you are fascinated by the people who fight monsters on our behalf, this book will fascinate you as much as it did me. If, on the other hand, your fascination is with the killers themselves, I'm afraid this book will disappoint you.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
I loved this book
By Jennifer Bradley
This was a truly fascinating read. Between the insider's view of the fledgling BSU finding its early feet and the horrific yet humanizing view of serial killers (Jeffrey Dahmer chain-smoked through his two days of interviews), this book is a must-read for anyone fascinated with true crime OR philosophy. Although there are times when it was truly stomach-turning (and I say that as a lifelong reader of Stephen King, Clive Barker, Robert McCammon, Anne Rice and other horror staples) it was also an expose on the realities of profiling and the toll that hunting such killers takes on law enforcement.
As a fan of Thomas Harris and the tv show Hannibal, I loved this book; it and Ressler's entire career were the seeds that Harris used to create some of his beloved and deeply-flawed characters.
Ressler also brought up salient points concerning the death penalty and serial killers; not just the philosophical question of its morality, but the fiscal cost and research opportunities lost. When a person speaks who has studied death and its makers for such a long time, the words really ring out. I cannot imagine what this man's life must have been, and how he was able to maintain any sense of normalcy.
I recommend this book, but with the caveat that it WILL upset even the most hardened reader!

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